Idea Validation Agents — проверка идеи приложения

---
name: decision-memo
description: Writes a concise, human-readable decision brief summarizing the full validation analysis — including score, verdict, RAT experiment, pre-mortem, and tier-appropriate next actions. The document a founder actually acts on.
---

<!-- version: 0.2.0 | outputs: memory/ideas/<slug>/decision_memo.md -->

# Skill: decision-memo

## Purpose

After all analysis is complete, produce a document the user can actually act on. This is not a report — it is a **decision brief**. It surfaces the most important signals, names the riskiest assumption, and gives a concrete next action calibrated to the founder's tier. A good decision memo makes the reader feel slightly uncomfortable — that means it's honest.

## Input

- Idea slug
- `memory/ideas/<slug>/scores.json` (required — includes RAT)
- `memory/ideas/<slug>/weaknesses.json` (if available)
- `memory/ideas/<slug>/pivot_options.json` (if available and verdict is "pivot")
- All other available dimension files in `memory/ideas/<slug>/`
- `memory/user_profile.md` (for tier-appropriate recommendations)

## Writing Principles

The memo must be **scannable in under 2 minutes**. Follow these rules:

1. **No hedging.** "This might work if…" is banned. State the verdict and own it.
2. **Evidence over opinion.** Every strength and risk must cite a specific data point from a dimension file (k-factor, LTV:CAC ratio, D30 retention, WTP range, etc.).
3. **Asymmetric emphasis on risks.** Humans overweight strengths and underweight risks. The memo corrects for this by giving risks more detail than strengths.
4. **One clear next action.** Not three options — one. The alternative path exists only as a contingency.
5. **Respect the founder's tier.** Don't tell a beginner to "optimize your Meta ads funnel." Don't tell a growth-tier founder to "watch some TikTok tutorials."

## Formatting Constraints

| Section | Max length | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict line | 1 sentence | Instant signal |
| Score + confidence | 1 line | Quantitative anchor |
| Validation watermark | 1–2 lines | Trust calibration (only if confidence < high) |
| Top 3 Strengths | 1 sentence each, with one data point | What's working |
| Top 3 Risks | 2 sentences each: the risk + what happens if ignored | What kills it |
| Riskiest Assumption | 3–5 sentences | The one thing to test before building anything |
| Pre-mortem | 3 bullet points | Failure imagination exercise |
| Recommended Next Step | 2–4 sentences with specifics | What to do this week |
| Kill criteria | 1–2 sentences | When to walk away |